Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.011291 0.013739 0.016839 0.021155 0.027187 0.035610 4.885578e-02
2024-10-27 0.008725 0.011616 0.015810 0.022716 0.034683 0.056735 1.078126e-01
2024-11-03 0.007487 0.010581 0.015515 0.024724 0.043787 0.089482 2.567235e-01
2024-11-10 0.006691 0.009904 0.015426 0.026886 0.054843 0.143352 7.576863e-01
2024-11-17 0.005850 0.008925 0.014482 0.026904 0.061202 0.199099 2.302425e+00
2024-11-24 0.005163 0.008061 0.013501 0.026404 0.065950 0.265385 1.045023e+01
2024-12-01 0.004478 0.007080 0.012070 0.024312 0.064230 0.297605 5.149569e+01
2024-12-08 0.003993 0.006394 0.011100 0.023054 0.064704 0.353649 6.322018e+06
2024-12-15 0.003682 0.005988 0.010632 0.022960 0.069806 0.486699 NaN
2024-12-22 0.003473 0.005746 0.010465 0.023641 0.079251 0.780843 NaN
2024-12-29 0.003256 0.005460 0.010146 0.023778 0.086659 1.214285 NaN
2025-01-05 0.003006 0.005080 0.009550 0.022869 0.087715 1.576699 NaN
2025-01-12 0.002790 0.004774 0.009147 0.022700 0.095076 2.850269 NaN
2025-01-19 0.002684 0.004685 0.009258 0.024393 0.119615 14.329209 NaN
2025-01-26 0.002605 0.004640 0.009468 0.026613 0.157307 13045.980653 NaN
2025-02-02 0.002532 0.004597 0.009675 0.029013 0.211002 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 0.002388 0.004378 0.009359 0.029033 0.237591 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.002243 0.004141 0.008954 0.028477 0.255363 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.002064 0.003810 0.008233 0.026157 0.233612 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.001927 0.003564 0.007731 0.024765 0.228186 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.001837 0.003421 0.007505 0.024661 0.250988 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.001776 0.003340 0.007450 0.025414 0.302313 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 0.001705 0.003230 0.007290 0.025565 0.343803 NaN NaN